NYC Primary Odds as the polls close June 23 2026
June 23, 2026 pm30 8:59 pm
As the polls close the betting markets have moved – but not decisively. Here’s what they show.
NYC has more real congressional primaries, real ones, than I can ever recall. 6, 7, 10, 12, 13, 15.
Gamblers are putting money on who they think the winners will be. In 6 (and 10) and 15 they see now contest. But while they see favorites in the others, those are not at 95%
These reflect how bettors are betting. Like making Vegas-style bets on the winner. These are NOT opinion polls. And this includes 11th hour money.
| NY-7 | Reynoso | Valdez | Won |
| Kalshi | 18% | 79% | 0.2% |
| NY-10 | Goldman (incumbent) | Lander |
| Kalshi | 1% | 99% |
| NY-12 | Bores | Conway | Lasher | Schlossberg |
| Kalshi | 25% | …. | 77% | 0.7% |
| NY-13 | Chevalier | Espaillat (incumbent) |
| Kalshi | 26% | 74% |
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