UFT elections: another look at New Action and MORE votes
We’ve already seen that votes flipped to New Action from ICE/TJC in 2010, and back to MORE in 2013.
But has the overall non-Unity vote changed? I’m hardly the first to draw this conclusion. It has changed, but not much.
Let’s start with the raw numbers:
Year | ELEM | MS/JHS/IS | High School | Functional | Retirees | |||||||||
NAC | I/T/M | NAC | I/T/M | NAC | I/T/M | NAC | I/T/M | NAC | I/T/M | |||||
2004 | 556 | 1,239 | 311 | 422 | 700 | 1,417 | 512 | 990 | 1,558 | 872 | ||||
2007 | 562 | 1,337 | 273 | 444 | 521 | 1,524 | 548 | 1,032 | 1,616 | 1,061 | ||||
2010 | 978 | 703 | 421 | 248 | 774 | 1,369 | 1,175 | 708 | 2,234 | 1,037 | ||||
2013 | 534 | 1,140 | 161 | 398 | 452 | 1,430 | 754 | 951 | 1,880 | 1,490 |
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Let’s examine non-Unity votes taken as a single unit:
Year | ELEM | MS/JHS/IS | High School | Functional | Retirees |
2004 | 1,795 | 733 | 2,117 | 1,502 | 2,430 |
2007 | 1,899 | 717 | 2,045 | 1,580 | 2,677 |
2010 | 1,681 | 669 | 2,143 | 1,883 | 3,271 |
2013 | 1,674 | 559 | 1,882 | 1,705 | 3,370 |
It might be hard to absorb from a table how uninteresting these numbers are. Try a graph:
The overall flatness is quite apparent. But there are some exceptions. The total number of retirees voting for a caucus other than Unity has increased in absolute terms. Both New Action and the other group(s) have benefited. A second shift, small, and hard to see in the noise, New Action has a small but real increase in votes among functional, leaving that line slightly higher. And the seeming dip in middle school? Illusion, as voters in 6-12 and K-8 schools vote in the other divisions, and there are more such schools today.
Remember, these flat lines are in the context of falling turnout, falling absolute numbers of total votes. The next post on this topic will look more closely at that context, and offer some analysis.
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